2026 LA Mayoral — Scenario Explorer
Scenario A
Scenario details ▾
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Winner
Margin
Runner-up
Candidate strength
Turnout (electorate vs eligible)
Stability across scenarios
Cluster ID
Candidate
Turnout index
— share of modeled electorate ÷ share of eligible voters (this scenario).
below weight (<1)
~at (1.0)
above (>1)
Citywide projection (Scenario A)
Click a tract to see its cluster's per-candidate projection.